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Old 02-20-2009   #11
alla ya7me aoun
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i dont wanna talk about the other region but why everybody is saying that in maten we will loose and this for sure.. i dont understand u guys..
maten min zamein w jeye was fpm and if u based ur statistics about the results of far3iye u r wrong because it was head to head and not lista and murr gave his own voice and his supporters to amine gmayel not fpm... did u ask urself why fpm didnt do anything to remain michel el murr?? because he betrayed us in the election and in the presidency election remember he was the first one who suported michel sleiman and not michel aoun..
second im gonna give u a statistic and this my own one:
el hizb el soury el awme has betwn 6000 and 8000 and this a block, tachnag has minimum 10000 in this election and this is the minimum and u will understand later why because i cant write it on the forum, u have el ba3ssiyeh at least 2000 voice, u have ghassan mukhayber and he's a very powerfull man this just our alliance voices and still fi el chyou3iye we dont know what they will do plus we should see if eddy abi el lame3 will be on 14 march list or not and would change lot of things...
also murr and nassib lahoud hates each other so fi tochtib.. anyway.. im not saying it's easy but it's not impossible to remain all the seats...
plus we have more than 10000 fpm montasib bil tayar in maten without their family so i think we have a big chance to win or at least we will have 4 seats..
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Old 02-20-2009   #12
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you said that el 2awme el sourer has 8000 votes but i don't think fpm should have any 1 from 2awmer el sourer on the list if they want to vote for us without being on the list thats fine
only 10000 fpm ?! your wrong as statistics show that GMA can get ALONE 50 % of the votes in maten
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Old 02-20-2009   #13
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Default yoooo

i didnt say only 10000 i said fi 10000 montasibine bil tayyar fhemet chu assde??
and also trust me el awmiye they will vote for us keino ma3na aw la2 u will see and this is inside info..
take care
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Old 02-20-2009   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by alla ya7me aoun View Post
i didnt say only 10000 i said fi 10000 montasibine bil tayyar fhemet chu assde??
and also trust me el awmiye they will vote for us keino ma3na aw la2 u will see and this is inside info..
take care
oh ok, well i hope awmiye will vote for fpm without having a candidate on the list it would be like ur giving 14 feb the bullet to shout fpm with it
it would be gr8 to win all the seats in maten it would shut up murr and 14 feb
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Old 02-20-2009   #15
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Quote:
Originally Posted by emilio View Post
oh ok, well i hope awmiye will vote for fpm without having a candidate on the list it would be like ur giving 14 feb the bullet to shout fpm with it
it would be gr8 to win all the seats in maten it would shut up murr and 14 feb
The oppostion will be united in the elections, FPM/HA/Marada/Amal/Kawmi...etc.
they will be running on the same lists, so the elections is going to be List Based not candidate based.
Dont worry Opposition is studying each and every move
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Old 02-20-2009   #16
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SSNP has about 6000 votes in metn and it's part of the opposition.
I don't know what's the possibility to have an SSNP candidate on our list but personally i do not mind it.
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Old 02-20-2009   #17
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No one is underestimating the power of FPM in maten and no one can deny the force of fpm in maten,but 2009 is not 2005..and of course like him or not michel el murr is strong and very strong in maten...and lf and katayeb are strong also..plus they way i see it is that if independent were going to vote,their vote will not go to fpm..and i'm not talking for the sake of talking,I know lots of people who voted fpm in 05 and will vote 14 march in 09.
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Old 02-21-2009   #18
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i know may people who voted for 14 march in 05 and they will not vote to them again they will vote to aoun .. inno akid it's a politics and many people change their mind but they r nothing to compare with people who still wanna vte for the same party..
anyway since 1990 till 2005 we used to heard that aoun ma ba2a ma3o 7adan and now the same song again so let's wait and see
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Old 02-21-2009   #19
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My predictions...!!

Easy to win

Jbeil
Keserwen
Jezzin
Zgharta
Jnoub

Some how hard

Baabda
Maten
Koura
Batroun
beirut 1

No chance to win

Tripoly
Saida
beirut 3

*** Today I called my brother I asked him about the election he told me fi khof aoun yekhsar. why he said that i don't know but he got me thinking for a while.
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Old 02-21-2009   #20
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I will be giving my prediction this afternoon, and by numbers,
Detailed info about each and every region.

I hope everyone will remember them, and make a comparison with the results

Just wait for them.
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