New survey: Who is the leader that represent lebanon? Click to find out

[TAYYAR AL AOUNI]

The Christians’ first leader is General Michel Aoun and Berri is the first Muslim Leader.

As-Safir Daily Published on its Wednesday edition, a new statistics completed by “The Information International”, which explored the Lebanese opinion about who is the First Lebanese leader. The results came as such:


1-The first Lebanese leader:

21.8% of the Lebanese respondents said “No One” is the first Lebanese leader; If we add to them 3.5% of the respondents who did not specify their answer and 2.1% who answered by “We do not know”, we will have more than a quarter of the Lebanese respondents who did not identify any leader.

Meanwhile (14.1%) chose President Nabih Berri as the first leader followed by Mr. Nasrallah and Saad Hariri who got even results (13.6%), followed by General Aoun (13.1%).

Both President Suleiman and Samir Geagea got even results (4.8%), Walid Jumblatt (2.6%), Amin Gemayel (1.2%) and (4.8%) did not identify any names.

The answers according to religion sects showed that:

-(47.6%) of the Shiites respondents considered the President Nabih Berri as the first Lebanese leader followed by Sayyed Nasrallah (34.1%).
-(43.1%) of the Sunnis respondents considered Saad Hariri as the first Lebanese Sunni’s leader without competition.
-(29.5%) of the Maronites respondents considered General Michel Aoun as the first Lebanese leader, in comparison to (13.6%) for Samir Geagea.



These results were compared to the results of a poll taken in June 2008; we discerned a noticeable progress in President Nabih Berri’s position, which in 2008 ranked in fourth place by (10.2%), after Sayyed Nasrallah (12%), Michel Aoun (11.3 %), and Saad al-Hariri (9.7%). Fig. 1



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2- The Sects Leaders

-First Maronite Leader: 38,5% of the Lebanese respondents said that the First Maronite Lebanese leader is General Michel Aoun, followed by Samir Geagea (10,6%), Michel Suleiman( 5.5%,) while ( 20.8%) of the respondents did not identify any leader. Fig. 2


According to the Maronite sect, (35.9%) of the respondents considered the First Maronite leader is Michel Aoun, followed by Samir Geagea (20.9%) and (4.1%) Michel Suleiman. These results were compared to June 2008 Survey, when (35.9%) of the Maronite respondents considered General Aoun as the First Maronite leader followed by Samir Geagea (12.3%).


-First Orthodox Leader: 73.6 % of the Lebanese respondents said that they don’t know who the first Orthodox Leader is, while (13.4%) said that Michel Murr is the first Orthodox leader, followed by Najah Wakim (with a large difference in margin 2.6%). Fig. 3


According to the Orthodox sect, (20%) of the respondents considered Michel Murr as the first Orthodox leader, while the poll did not show any proportion for Mr. Najah Wakim. Compared to June 2008 Survey, Michel Murr was also the first Orthodox leader by (18.2%).


-First Catholic Leader: 46.1% of the Lebanese respondents said that they don’t know who the first Catholic Leader is, while (20.5%) answered by “We don’t Know” and (16.4%) refused to answer, which means that (83%) of the respondents don’t think there is a First Catholic Leader while both Mr. Elias Skaff and Michel Pharaon got even results (7.3%).

According to the Catholic sect, (22%) of the respondents considered that Michel Pharaon is the Leader, followed by Elias Skaff (15%). Compared to June 2008 Survey, (9.4%) of the respondents believed that Skaff was the first Orthodox leader while it didn’t show any significant level of support to Pharaon.


-First Armenian Leader: 18.4% of the Lebanese considered that the MP Hagop Pakradounian is the first Armenian Leader followed by Hovik Mekhitarian, the Tashnak Secretary-General (4.5%) while (40.8%) did not identify any leader.

According to the Armenian Sect, half of the respondents (48%) considered that Hovik Mekhitarian is the first Armenian Leader followed by Hagop Pakradounian (18.2%).

Compared to June 2008 Survey, (11.8%) considered Hagop Pakradounian as the first Armenian Leader while it didn’t show any significant support to Mr. Hovik Mekhitarian.


-First Sunni Leader: 61.3% of the Lebanese respondents considered Saad Hariri as the first Sunni leader, followed by President Salim el- Hoss (7.6%) and President Omar Karameh (2.1%) and President Najib Mikati (1.2%). Fig. 4


According to the Sunni Sect, (71.5%) of the respondents considered Saad Hariri the first Sunni leader, followed by President el Hoss (2.9%). Compared to June 2008 Survey, (38.6%) of the respondents considered Hariri the first Leader, followed by Hoss (9.5%), Omar Karami (5.6%) and (1.6%) to Mikati. The 2009 Survey showed a great progress for Saad Hariri.


-First Shiite Leader: 48.3% of the Lebanese respondents considered that Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah is the first Shiite leader, followed by Speaker Nabih Berri (30.5%). Fig. 5


According to the Shiite Sect, (30.7%) of the respondents considered that Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah is the first Shiite leader while President Nabih Berri ranked first by (62.9%).



A big progress for the Speaker Berri in comparison to the 2008 Survey, because the majority of the respondents combined both politics and religion figures when it comes to Sayyed Nasrallah, which led to a confusion in the 2009 poll.

It is to be noted that in June 2008 Survey, Sayyed Nasrallah was considered the first Shiite leader by (41.1%) followed by President Berri by (19.2%).




-First Druze Leader: 45.8% of the Lebanese respondents considered PSP Walid Jumblatt the first Druze leader, followed by MP Talal Arslan (11.2%) then former minister Wiaam Wahab (10.6%).

According to the Druze Sect, (82.1%) of the respondents considered PSP Walid Jumblatt the first Druze leader, followed by Arslan (3.6%) and Wahab (1.8%).

Compared to June 2008 Survey, (34.3%) considered PSP Walid Jumblatt the first Druze leader, Arslan (15.5%) and Wahab (5.3%).


The majority of Lebanese believe that no one deserves the title of the first Lebanese leader, or that no one is the first leader.

The poll was conducted within the City of the Greater Beirut, between August 11 and 15, 2009. It included a sample of 995 voters from all of Lebanon, dispersed according to Sects, Sex, and Age.


According to sects: Maronite 22.1%, Orthodox 7.5%, Catholics 5%, Armenian Orthodox and Armenian Catholics 3.3%, Sunni 27.5%, Shiite 28.6%, Druze 5.6% and 2.2 % Christian minorities.

According to the Sex: 66.3% male and 33.7% female.



According to the age groups:
-8.9% were between the ages of 21-24.
-20.5% were between the ages of 25-34.
-2.7% were between the ages of 35-44.
-21.4% were between the ages of 45-54.
-12.2% were between the ages of 55-64.
- 7.2% were 65 years old and above.

(The margin of error ~ 3.1%)

Translated by Hala Najjar.




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All tables can be found here: http://www.tayyar.org/Tayyar/Multime....htm?AID=24861
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Total source of survey: http://www.tayyar.org/Tayyar/News/Po...6530952460.htm